I’ve been working on a python program that forecasts bitcoin/alt coin prices based on historical trends. Crypto currencies are extremely volatile but that doesn’t mean there aren’t seasonal and predictive patterns. Is there any interest for a site displays forecasted models/graphs?

Right now I am running the program on an AWS EC2 server and texting (MMS) the images to myself (graphs forecasted 1day/3day/1week/3week etc.) for different currencies.

It would be pretty simple to add new users who want a once per day text showing them the highest predicted alt currencies for the day and also the predicted Bitcoin charts for the coming weeks.

Basically I’ve spent a lot of time creating predictive models and have good resources for up-to-date data, just need to know what people like you would want to see in a website or service that would show you this information. I can create iPhone Apps/websites but want to find out what you find most useful before I go to far down a rabbit hole.

Here is an example (price spoiler alert) of a predictive BTC chart that I ran today.

[Chart.](https://imgur.com/gallery/hBlW1)

View Reddit by makhalifaView Source

27 thoughts on “I’ve been working on a python program that forecasts bitcoin/alt coin prices based on historical trends. Crypto currencies are extremely volatile but that doesn’t mean there aren’t seasonal and predictive patterns. Is there any interest for a site displays forecasted models/graphs?

  1. mariodraghi February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    There is always interest. Have you simulated their performance on historical data without information leakage?

  2. GoatVsOctopus February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Sounds interesting but is no one afraid of the self fulfilling prophecy it might introduce if this gets to much attention?

  3. MScGermanEngineer February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    I am interesting in participating as open source. Have been programming trading strategy, AI based forecast and communication bots in the past. How about launching a project on github?

  4. CONTROLurKEYS February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Isn’t this meaningless if you don’t provide its back tested accuracy?

  5. binarymaple February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Just a standard AR model? Try using this over time it won’t work.. this only works for deterministic processes that appear random..

  6. REV_Les February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Awesome idea! I have a question for you. How hard is learning Python?

  7. amzramz77 February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    A daily digest e-mail would be great. Awesome work man, I’d definitely like to be kept in the loop about this.

  8. darkerblu February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Tactical dot ——> ā—

  9. rxg11 February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Which forecast models are you using? And also what’s the calculated volatility on your chosen timeframe?
    I’m asking because if volatility is higher than 40% then there isn’t really a reliable forecast model applicable as far as I know

  10. 3301X2 February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Also provide all your data sources in case your models start to go crazy.

    Edit : Great idea by the way

  11. XxionxX February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    This is really cool, do you have a github for the code? I’d be really interested in learning how to make stuff like this. I’m just a newbie but I love graphs and I would love pointers about which libraries are useful for this kind of thing.

  12. charonaa February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    What a question! Of course everybody wants that šŸ™‚

  13. PM_ME_YOUR_WHOLLIES February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Let me know if you decide to allow the public to use this, whether that be through a website, app, MMS service, etc. I know it will take a lot of work on your end to put that together, but I for one would be very interested in having your tool at my disposal. Iā€™m pretty new here, and could use all the help I can get.

  14. minepopper February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Cool now everyone can become millionaires!

  15. crazy_gnome February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Good luck factoring in the observer effect this will produce.

    Interesting program nonetheless.

  16. lune-lute-skimp February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    there’s a similar project out there… uses ML to predict alt take offs. it’s a paid service, though. if anyone remembers it please drop the link!

  17. EvilLost February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    What’s your accuracy using past data?

  18. sz1a February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Bitcoin usually trades higher on the weekend. That’s one thing I’ve been observing for months now.

  19. xavierfiechter February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Isn’t this similar to what Clif High is doing?
    Would love the get more insights….

  20. chilli_cat February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Looks really interesting…

    More tools the better, although my gut instinct is that bitcoin just refuses to obey the logical rules…

  21. SuspiciousAdvice February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    if everyone knows what the BTC price is going to be, no one knows what the BTC price is going to be.

  22. N0tMyRealAcct February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    This is extremely hard to do. And if you succeed and share it it will stop working.

  23. tofke83 February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Put it in a chatbot.

  24. stevev916 February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Does it read newspapers?

  25. makhalifa February 13, 2018 / 9:34 pm

    Feel free to comment with any input on what you’d like to see. (i.e. hourly predictions vs daily or weekly? Graphs vs. numbers?)

    What is the best crypto resource right now for modeling predictions?

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